Just Wondering...with Norm Hitzges

One Move to Make and No Room to Miss | Just Wondering with Norm Hitzges

January 16, 2026 16:51

Norm Hitzges explores five potential defensive free agents the Cowboys could pursue this offseason, including Jacksonville linebacker Devon Lloyd, Seattle safety Kobe Bryant, Seattle defensive end Boi Muffe, Philadelphia linebacker the Coby Dean, and Chicago cornerback Nation. He also discusses playoff implications, noting the Cowboys have reached the quarterfinals only seven times in 30 years and lost all seven, and examines how Dante Moore's decision to return to Oregon rather than declare for the draft could affect Dallas's draft positioning at pick 12.

About this episode

Key takeaways

  • Devon Lloyd, Jacksonville's number-three-ranked inside linebacker, offers youth at 27 with strong blitzing and coverage abilities including five interceptions this year
  • Kobe Bryant, Seattle's 26-year-old safety with slot cornerback experience, could address Cowboys' coverage issues at safety despite typically avoiding big safety contracts
  • The Cowboys can likely afford only one defensive free agent move this offseason while potentially keeping George Pickens at wide receiver
  • Dante Moore's return to Oregon means another player will be drafted ahead of Dallas at pick 12, potentially pushing coveted targets further away

Chapters

  1. 0:00Free agency reality: the Cowboys can afford one move
  2. 1:29The George Pickens franchise-tag dilemma
  3. 2:12Why elite free agents are out of Dallas’ price range
  4. 2:50Focusing on defense and realistic targets
  5. 3:30Devin Lloyd: breakout year, real value
  6. 4:03Can Lloyd blitz and cover? Yes
  7. 4:53Kobe Bryant and fixing safety coverage
  8. 5:44Boye Mafe: affordable edge-rush upside
  9. 6:27Nakobe Dean: talent vs. availability
  10. 7:59Nayshaun Wright and why change matters
  11. 8:41Bob’s Steak & Chop House sponsor break
  12. 9:27Full Moon Healing Balm and personal fixes
  13. 10:04Cowboys playoff history nobody likes to revisit
  14. 10:46Seven quarterfinals, seven losses, thirty years
  15. 11:42Draft hopes hinge on players sliding
  16. 12:25Dante Moore stays in school — and that hurts
  17. 13:06Why the Cowboys’ draft board just got tighter
  18. 13:54An unusual NFL quarterfinal weekend
  19. 14:54Betting lines reveal league parity
  20. 15:59Final thoughts and sign-off

Q&A

Why might George Pickens be unhappy with the franchise tag?

He would miss out on a four-year $140 million contract with $100 million guaranteed by accepting the $28.5 million franchise tag.

What did Devon Lloyd accomplish in pass coverage this year?

He had five interceptions and was listed as the number-three inside linebacker by Pro Football Focus.

How many times have the Cowboys reached the quarterfinals in the past 30 years?

Seven times, and they lost all seven of those games.

Episode notes

How much can one move really fix?
In this episode of Just Wondering, Norm Hitzges walks through the cold math of the Cowboys’ offseason and arrives at an uncomfortable conclusion: Dallas likely has enough money to make one meaningful defensive free-agent signing — and that’s it. Even with difficult decisions looming around George Pickens and the franchise tag, the Cowboys’ financial flexibility is minimal, forcing them to be precise instead of hopeful.
Norm lays out five realistic defensive targets who could fit Dallas’ needs and budget, including Jacksonville linebacker Devin Lloyd, Seattle safety Kobe Bryant, edge rusher Boye Mafe, and the high-risk, high-reward possibility of injured linebacker Nakobe Dean. It’s a conversation rooted in value, age, availability, and the reality that the Cowboys can’t afford to miss — not financially and not competitively.
The episode then zooms out to the bigger picture: a 30-year playoff drought that looks worse the deeper you dig. Norm breaks down just how rarely the Cowboys have even reached the quarterfinals — and how consistently they’ve lost once they got there. Add in bad luck on the draft front, with quarterback Dante Moore choosing to stay in college and shrinking the pool of players who might slide to pick No. 12, and the margin for error grows even thinner.
Norm closes with a look at an unusual NFL playoff weekend, where home-field advantage barely matters and parity reigns — a reminder of how far Dallas still is from being part of the real conversation.
It’s not angry. It’s not dramatic. It’s just honest.
Chapters
00:00:00 – Free agency reality: the Cowboys can afford one move
00:01:29 – The George Pickens franchise-tag dilemma
00:02:12 – Why elite free agents are out of Dallas’ price range
00:02:50 – Focusing on defense and realistic targets
00:03:30 – Devin Lloyd: breakout year, real value
00:04:03 – Can Lloyd blitz and cover? Yes
00:04:53 – Kobe Bryant and fixing safety coverage
00:05:44 – Boye Mafe: affordable edge-rush upside
00:06:27 – Nakobe Dean: talent vs. availability
00:07:59 – Nayshaun Wright and why change matters
00:08:41 – Bob’s Steak & Chop House sponsor break
00:09:27 – Full Moon Healing Balm and personal fixes
00:10:04 – Cowboys playoff history nobody likes to revisit
00:10:46 – Seven quarterfinals, seven losses, thirty years
00:11:42 – Draft hopes hinge on players sliding
00:12:25 – Dante Moore stays in school — and that hurts
00:13:06 – Why the Cowboys’ draft board just got tighter
00:13:54 – An unusual NFL quarterfinal weekend
00:14:54 – Betting lines reveal league parity
00:15:59 – Final thoughts and sign-off
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Read Transcript

It's Friday, January 16th, and today I'm just wondering about the free agents the cowboys might be able to pursue this offseason to help their club and then later several NFL notes, most of which concern the cowboys and now a word from our title sponsor. Eying retirement? We aim to turn your nest egg into a paycheck with half the amount you've been led to believe.

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Retire sooner, better lifestyle. For more information or to schedule a meeting, visit FluentFinancial.com or call 972-85248-00. The cowboys should have enough money to make one free agent move on defense this offseason, and that's even if they keep George Pickens at wide receiver, which by the way may be a little difficult to do.

Oh yes, you can franchise tag George Pickens for $28 million, but is he going to be happy about missing out on a four-year $140 million contract with a 100 million guaranteed by taking his $28.5 million franchise tag? And that's certain, and the world knows what an unhappy George Pickens can look like. And he likely is the number one target in free agency for teams around the NFL.

Likely number two or number one a defensive entry inriksen from Cincinnati, but the cowboys can't afford him. He's going to go in the $30 million range. They can't afford to add another $30 million player.

And there are some others that you'd like to have the Green Bay left tackle or shard walker, but left tackles cost a lot. A lot. So let's go some other areas, and I've concentrated on defense, and I've got five names for you.

Realizing the cowboys may not have any more than enough money to sign one of them. Okay, all defense. Number one, Jacksonville Landbacker Devon Lloyd.

He's been there four seasons. He was the number one pick in 2022, but his first three seasons weren't all that impressive. So Jacksonville declined his fifth year option, making the free agent this year.

But this year he was really really good. Profitball focus listed him the number three inside linebacker the entire Lee. He's only 27 years old.

So given the ages linebackers are playing to, you could give a four or five year contract to Devon Lloyd and have every confidence that he'd play that out at a high level. Can he blitz? He had 25 quarterback pressures as a blitzer this year.

Can he cover? He had five interceptions. Oh, that sounds like something the cowboys could use in the middle of their linebacking unit.

Next, Seattle Safety Kobe Bryant. Yes, I'm not I'm not putting on here. Kobe Bryant is available.

And he's only 26 years old. Now he began his career as a slot cover corner, which gives you some idea of his cover abilities and then he switched to safety. Now normally you'd worry about Seattle putting the franchise tag on somebody like Kobe Bryant.

But I think they're way more likely to use the franchise tag on cornerback to to re-quilling or runbacker Kenneth Walker. And in fact, maybe even defensive end they have, which is the next guy on our list. Boi Muffe.

Now let's go back to Bryant for a minute. Then back to Muffe or Muffe. Bryant is a safety.

I know the cowboys aren't likely to pay safety big money. But he's young and he can cover at safety. And we've seen a lot of problems with coverage from the cowboy safeties.

Now to that defensive end, Boi Muffe. He's 27 years old and he may be cheap. Now cheap for defensive end.

Well, Muffe has fallen a bit behind a couple of other Seattle defensive ends, including of all people. DeMarcus Lawrence, who made the pro bowl this year. You remember him.

He spent his entire early in mid career with the cowboys who then let him go. He's cheaper because he's infected back up. But with regular reps, he looks like a guy who has real past Russian ability.

The fourth one for you, injured Philadelphia linebacker and the Coby Dean. Okay. You don't want to take a chance of someone injured.

I understand you're thinking entirely. He was Herzruki, pectoral strain. Hurt in 2024, Patella Tenden surgery.

The first six games of this year, he was still recovering from that Patella tendon tear. And finished this year. He's a good player.

Why wouldn't Philadelphia use the franchise tag on him? I think it's way more likely. Philadelphia uses the franchise tag on defensive end, Jalen Phillips, who was a revelation once Philadelphia acquired him during the season in a trade.

So the entries may well keep the price of the Coby Dean down. I think the Coby Dean has a chance to be a star player if he's available. His ability is there.

His availability is in question. And I say a fifth player because I want to joke about it. One of the cornerbacks who will be sought after in this free agency period.

Nation right. To remember him, he did nothing as a cowboy. Chicago this year, he was a terror.

He led Chicago in theirceptions. Now, I'm sure the Coby's aren't going to be interested there, but you can never tell with a new defense coordinator. But that's my look at availability in free agency that the Coby's might pursue.

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Just go to the website, full moon healing co.com. We've reached the round of eight in the NFL, the quarter finals. And I know you know the Cowboys haven't been to the Super Bowl for 30 years.

And now I know you know that the Cowboys haven't even been to an NFC championship game in 30 years. But did you realize that in those 30 years, the Cowboys have only been to this round of the playoffs seven times. They've only reached the quarter finals seven times.

And by the way, lost them all. It really does tell you that the Cowboys have been a slightly above mediocre team for a long, long, long time now. Next, something negative happened to the Cowboys this week negative for their NFL draft hopes.

If you're holding the 12th pick, let's just concentrate on that one for a second. You're hoping that player X or player Y or player Z slides down to you. What your hopes also contain are the fact that ahead of you teams may take players at a position you don't need.

The Cowboys would love to have people take defensive tackle to the head of them. They don't need a defensive tackle. They'd love to have people take a quarterback ahead of them.

They're not going to take a quarterback. And that's where the rub comes. Francisco Mendoza is going to go number one to the Raiders.

It's solid. They're not going to trade the pick. They're desperate for a quarterback.

Mendoza fits Las Vegas takes Mendoza first. But here's the problem. The second best quarterback in the estimation of almost everybody.

The second best quarterback in college football this year was Dante Moore from Oregon. And the thought was that Jets were to grab him right away with the second pick in the draft. The problem is Moore stunk up the playoff game against Indiana.

An interception. Three fumbles. He looked frail.

He's going back to school. He's going back to Oregon. He's not going to declare for the NFL draft.

That's a problem for the Cowboys because that means one more player will be taken ahead of them. Moore won't go there. So someone else will go there.

And that could mean a player the Cowboys covet. Not quite sliding to them at number 12. And finally, this weekend in the NFL is a bit of a nod weekend.

It's the final eight teams, but usually teams at this stage of the playoffs, home teams are fairly well favored. Not this weekend. Only Seattle of the home teams is a significant favorite.

Seven over the very injured San Francisco 49ers. Otherwise, now realize teams in wagering teams get three points for being at home. New England is a three point favored over Houston, indicating that the odds makers think Houston and New England are the same team identically talented.

The other two games Denver, the number one seed in the AFC is favored only a point over Buffalo. The odds makers suggesting you Buffalo is the better team of these two. The only reason Denver's favored one is they're at home.

And finally, the Rams are favored three and a half over the Bears on the road. This this game might be a shootout. If only the Cowboys were here to shoot it out with someone.

And now a word from our title sponsor. Today's episode has been brought to you by Fluent Financial. Retire earlier, live better.

And by Bob's steak and chop house on Lemon and Dallas and in Craig Ranch in McKinney. Bob's a Dallas tradition for more than 30 years. If you've enjoyed just wondering, please hit follow and a fresh new episode will land in your mailbox early every Monday, Wednesday and Friday morning.

Should you know a sports fan who might like our work, please share our contact information with that person. Thanks for listening to today's episode of Just One Ring. I'm Norm Hitzkes and know that every day I'll be just wondering about something.

And I'm Mary Hitzkes and I'll just be wondering too. This is a stolen water media production.

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