Switzerland arrives at this World Cup the way clockwork is supposed to arrive: quietly, on time, and with a perfect record. Ten qualifying matches, ten wins — the first European team to ever manage that. A squad that on paper reads like a greatest-hits of the last decade of Swiss football: Granit Xhaka still conducting the midfield at 33, Manuel Akanji anchoring the defense, Yann Sommer still at Inter, Breel Embolo still the first striker on the team sheet.
And yet the same sentence keeps getting written about Switzerland: Round of 16, out. Again. They've made the knockout stage at every recent World Cup — 2014, 2018, 2022 — and haven't advanced past it since 1954, when the tournament was structured entirely differently and Switzerland was hosting. Seventy-two years is a long time to be stuck at one door.
Manager Murat Yakin, now in his fifth year in charge, is a very Swiss figure: competent, unflashy, fluent in the idea that you don't need to rebuild what already works. The group Switzerland gets here — whatever the draw eventually sorts out — will likely see them finish second and march into the Round of 16 as underdogs again. The question, as always, is what happens on that one specific knockout day. The Swiss have a lovely track record of proving they belong. The next step has, for seventy-two years, eluded them.