Japan walks into 2026 as the team that beat Germany and Spain at the same World Cup and still went home in the Round of 16. That is the entire story of modern Japanese soccer in one sentence: a national team that has clearly figured out how to play a top European side in a one-off match, and has not yet figured out how to do it twice in a row when the stakes are highest.
Hajime Moriyasu — soft-spoken, methodical, the longest-tenured manager in Japanese national team history — gets to try again. The squad is the most talented Japan has ever produced. Mitoma's hamstring injury was a blow, but Keito Nakamura — the Stade Reims winger who led Ligue 2 in scoring — steps in on the left, with Kubo on the right and Kamada in midfield. Tanaka pulling strings at Leeds. A defense built around Tomiyasu when he's fit and Endo when he plays. A goalkeeper situation that Moriyasu still hasn't quite settled. They qualified out of Asia without losing a match.
The 2022 storyline was the comebacks — down a goal to Germany, then scoring twice in eight minutes; down to Spain, same trick. They proved they belong on this stage. The 2026 question is whether they can finally win the second knockout match — the one Japanese soccer has been chasing since 2002, when Asia's only modern semifinalists were South Korea, on home soil. Group B with Spain and Brazil and Iran will not make it easy.
Week 1 Update: Japan drew the Netherlands 2-2 in a match that felt like a preview of something bigger. Two goals down, two goals back — the exact kind of comeback Japan has been doing to top European sides since Qatar. The pattern is no longer a surprise; it's a system. A point off the group favorites is exactly the start Moriyasu needed.
Matchday 2 Update: Four-nil against Tunisia in the 1,000th match in World Cup history, and Japan made it look like a training exercise. Moriyasu's system isn't a surprise anymore — it's a machine, and nobody in Group F has found the off switch. The team that clawed back from 2-0 down against the Netherlands just dismantled Tunisia without conceding a shot that mattered. Four points, knockout round all but secured, and the only question left is the one that's haunted Japanese football for two decades: can they finally break through the quarterfinal wall?
Matchday 3 Update: Japan 1, Sweden 1 — five points, second in Group F, and the Samurai Blue are through to the knockouts with a draw that felt like a choice. Moriyasu's side drew the Netherlands, demolished Tunisia, and held Sweden to a point without ever looking troubled. The system works. The quarterfinal wall remains the question — but this team has proven it belongs at this level. Now can it win when it matters most?
Round of 32 (June 29): Japan 1, Brazil 2 — and the question about winning when it matters most has an answer, and it is not the one Japan wanted. They led 1-0 through Kaishu Sano's 29th-minute strike, the kind of goal that had a billion people believing. But Brazil found Casemiro in the 56th minute and then Martinelli in the 90th plus five, and Japan's tournament ended in the cruellest way — with a team that competed fully and ran out of time. Moriyasu's side matched the five-time champions for an hour. The quarterfinal wall remains unbroken. Japan are eliminated.