France arrives in 2026 with the deepest roster on the planet and an open wound that hasn't really healed. The 2022 Final in Lusail is one of the most-watched soccer matches ever played, and it ended with Mbappé scoring a hat-trick in a losing effort and Argentina lifting the trophy on penalties. Four years later, almost the entire French spine is back. So is the manager, Didier Deschamps, who has now coached Les Bleus for fourteen years and has nothing left to prove except this.
The reason France is the betting favorite is simple math. Mbappé is leading La Liga in goals in his first Real Madrid season. Ousmane Dembélé just won the Ballon d'Or off the back of PSG's treble. William Saliba is a top-three center back in the world. Mike Maignan is the goalkeeper. Aurélien Tchouaméni and Eduardo Camavinga are 26 and 23. There is no obvious weakness, only the question of whether Deschamps' famously cautious tactics squeeze the talent or set it loose.
For a country that has been in three of the last seven World Cup finals, the goal is not "competing." It is the trophy. Anything else, in 2026, would be considered a failure.