France arrives in 2026 with the deepest roster on the planet and an open wound that hasn't really healed. The 2022 Final in Lusail is one of the most-watched soccer matches ever played, and it ended with Mbappé scoring a hat-trick in a losing effort and Argentina lifting the trophy on penalties. Four years later, almost the entire French spine is back. So is the manager, Didier Deschamps, who has now coached Les Bleus for fourteen years and has nothing left to prove except this.
The reason France is the betting favorite is simple math. Mbappé is leading La Liga in goals in his first Real Madrid season. Ousmane Dembélé just won the Ballon d'Or off the back of PSG's treble. William Saliba is a top-three center back in the world. Mike Maignan is the goalkeeper. Aurélien Tchouaméni and Eduardo Camavinga are 26 and 23. There is no obvious weakness, only the question of whether Deschamps' famously cautious tactics squeeze the talent or set it loose.
For a country that has been in three of the last seven World Cup finals, the goal is not "competing." It is the trophy. Anything else, in 2026, would be considered a failure.
Week 1 Update: France beat Senegal 3-1, and it looked like the tournament favorite performing exactly as advertised. Mbappé was involved in everything dangerous, the midfield suffocated Senegal's rhythm, and Deschamps' side converted their chances with the clinical efficiency of a team that expects to win. Three points, a clean performance, and a message sent to the rest of Group I: the bracket runs through Les Bleus.
Matchday 2 Update: France dismantled Iraq 3-0, with Mbappé scoring twice (14', 54') to take his tournament tally to four goals, and Dembélé adding a third. A two-hour rain and lightning delay at halftime in Philadelphia couldn't cool Les Bleus off — they came out of the break and immediately killed the match. Six points, knockouts secured, and Deschamps' final tournament as manager is going exactly to plan.
Matchday 3 Update: France beat Norway 4-1 and Dembele scored a hat trick in 25 minutes — the second-fastest in World Cup history, trailing only Austria's Probst in 1954. Goals at 7', 20', and 32', plus Doue added a fourth in stoppage time. France finish with a perfect 9 points, winning Group I without breaking a sweat. Deschamps' farewell is looking less like a tournament and more like a coronation.
Round of 32 (June 30): France 3-0 Sweden, and it was never a contest. Mbappé scored either side of halftime (45', 74') and Barcola added a third in between — clinical, controlled, and over before the hour mark. Gyökeres and Isak, the partnership Europe had been waiting to see, couldn't find a yard of space against the French defensive structure. Les Bleus advance to face Paraguay in the round of 16 in Philadelphia, and Mbappé now has six tournament goals. The Klose record — 16, long considered untouchable — is ten goals away with potentially four matches left to play.
Round of 16 (July 4): Thirty-nine degrees in Philadelphia, and Paraguay made France earn every inch. La Albirroja sat deep and disrupted Les Bleus' rhythm for 69 minutes — until VAR confirmed Désiré Doué had been fouled in the box, Mbappé stepped up, and rolled a cold penalty into the right corner. One goal, clinical and inevitable. It was Mbappé's seventh of the tournament, drawing level with Messi in the golden boot race, and his record-extending 11th strike in World Cup knockout football — the first player to score in the Round of 16 in three consecutive tournaments. France are in the quarterfinals. The opponent is Morocco. The 2022 semifinal rematch, with both teams two wins from where they should have been four years ago.
Quarter-Final (July 9): France 2-0 Morocco, and the 2022 semifinal rematch ended the same way. Bounou denied Mbappé's first-half penalty — low to his left, brilliant, the kind of save that usually changes a match — but on the hour mark Mbappé curled a stunning finish into the far corner from the edge of the box, and that was that. He immediately turned provider: a perfectly weighted through-ball slipped Dembélé in on goal, and Dembélé was ice-cold, firing a composed finish into the bottom corner. Morocco's attack, missing Ismael Saibari, barely threatened. Les Bleus are in the semifinals for the third time in four tournaments, in Dallas on July 14, facing the winner of Spain and Belgium. Mbappé has eight goals in this tournament. Deschamps' farewell is four matches from perfect.