Australia is the country in this tournament that has the least to lose and seems to know it best. The Socceroos have qualified for six straight World Cups now — a streak nobody outside Asia talks about, including a lot of Australians. They have advanced out of the group stage twice. The most recent time, in 2022, they beat Denmark 1-0 in Al Wakrah and then lost 2-1 to Argentina in the Round of 16 in a match that was tighter than the score, with Mathew Leckie nearly equalizing in extra time. That whole tournament was the high-water mark of modern Australian soccer.
The new era is being built by Tony Popovic, who took over from Graham Arnold in September 2024 after a sluggish qualifying start and proceeded to lose exactly zero matches in the AFC third round. Australia booked their spot in June 2025 with a 2-1 win over Saudi Arabia. They drew Group C with France, Germany, and Morocco — which is, objectively, the second-hardest group in the tournament.
Realistically, this Socceroos team is fighting for third and a chance at the expanded knockout round. They will be underdogs in all three group games. They will be louder than they should be, scrappier than the talent on the page suggests, and more annoying to play against than anyone in Group C is preparing for. That has always been the formula. There is no reason it stops working now.
Week 1 Update: The formula worked. Australia 2, Turkiye 0 — the Socceroos were supposed to be the group's afterthought, and instead they've just posted the cleanest sheet and the most convincing result in Group D's opening round. Popovic's side pressed relentlessly, Turkiye never found an answer, and the Green and Gold Army are sitting pretty with three points. Overlooked, as always. Winning, as they keep insisting they might.
Matchday 2 Update: A loss to the USA — the hosts were too much, and Australia's opening-day magic ran into the buzzsaw of an American side playing with house-money confidence. The Socceroos are still on three points, still in a strong position for the knockouts, but the +5 goal-difference USA have built means the group is theirs. One match left for Australia to confirm what the first matchday suggested: that they're not the afterthought anyone assumed.
Matchday 3 Update: Drew Paraguay 0-0. Australia finish 3rd in Group D with 4 points — the surprise of the opening matchday held their own throughout the group stage. Whether they advance depends on the third-place table, but the Socceroos were nobody's afterthought and everyone's headache. Three matches, four points, zero quit. Popovic's side did exactly what Australian teams do: showed up, scrapped, and left it to the math.
Round of 32 (July 3): Egypt 1-1 Australia (AET) — Australia exit on penalties, 2-4, and the sport can be cruel. Emam Ashour put Egypt ahead early; Mohamed Hany's own goal leveled it and had the Green and Gold Army daring to believe. Extra time came and went. Then Harry Souttar missed. Lucas Herrington missed. Salah chipped a panenka. It was over. The Socceroos beat Turkey in the opener, pushed the USA, drew Paraguay, came within a moment of beating Egypt — and go home having earned every minute of praise they'll receive. Mathew Ryan's fourth World Cup. Tony Popovic's first. The Green and Gold Army will be back.