Australia is the country in this tournament that has the least to lose and seems to know it best. The Socceroos have qualified for six straight World Cups now — a streak nobody outside Asia talks about, including a lot of Australians. They have advanced out of the group stage twice. The most recent time, in 2022, they beat Denmark 1-0 in Al Wakrah and then lost 2-1 to Argentina in the Round of 16 in a match that was tighter than the score, with Mathew Leckie nearly equalizing in extra time. That whole tournament was the high-water mark of modern Australian soccer.
The new era is being built by Tony Popovic, who took over from Graham Arnold in September 2024 after a sluggish qualifying start and proceeded to lose exactly zero matches in the AFC third round. Australia booked their spot in June 2025 with a 2-1 win over Saudi Arabia. They drew Group C with France, Germany, and Morocco — which is, objectively, the second-hardest group in the tournament.
Realistically, this Socceroos team is fighting for third and a chance at the expanded knockout round. They will be underdogs in all three group games. They will be louder than they should be, scrappier than the talent on the page suggests, and more annoying to play against than anyone in Group C is preparing for. That has always been the formula. There is no reason it stops working now.